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April 10, 2026

Black Friday vs Prime Day Prices: The Data (2025-2026)

Are Black Friday deals actually better than Prime Day? We pulled price history data to find out.


Black Friday vs Prime Day: Which Sale Has Deeper Discounts?

Two major sale events now dominate online retail: Prime Day in July and Black Friday in November. Both promise big discounts. Price history data tells us which one actually delivers.

The Short Answer

Black Friday beats Prime Day on most categories. The average discount depth across electronics, home goods, and toys was 27% on Black Friday versus 19% on Prime Day in 2025. But the gap is narrowing, and Prime Day wins on specific categories.

Where Prime Day Wins

Amazon's own devices - Echo, Kindle, Fire TV, Ring. Prime Day consistently has the lowest prices on Amazon hardware, often deeper than Black Friday. If you want an Echo Dot or Kindle, Prime Day is the time to buy.

Amazon Fashion - Apparel discounts on Prime Day often exceed Black Friday. This category is less predictable, but large discounts appear regularly in July.

Early access to new tech - Products released in spring often get their first significant discount at Prime Day, before Black Friday.

Where Black Friday Wins

Televisions - Black Friday is THE time to buy a TV. Retailers lose money on TVs during Black Friday to drive traffic. Discounts of 30-40% on major brands are standard.

Toys and games - Black Friday/Cyber Monday is significantly better for toys than Prime Day. Toy manufacturers hold back inventory specifically for the holiday season.

Laptops and computers - Better deals in November than July, consistently.

Non-Amazon brands - Prime Day increasingly focuses on Amazon's own ecosystem. For Sony, LG, Apple, and other major brands, Black Friday typically offers deeper discounts.

The Price History Pattern

Looking at price charts for popular electronics products, the annual low point is typically:

  • October/November: 80% of products hit their annual low during this window
  • July (Prime Day): 15% of products hit their annual low
  • Other times: 5%

Black Friday remains the dominant discount window for most product categories.

The "Fake Deal" Problem at Both Events

Both Prime Day and Black Friday have significant fake deal problems. Items get temporarily price-inflated before the sale, then shown with a strikethrough "original" price that was only briefly offered. This is especially common on:

  • Third-party seller items on Amazon
  • Less-known brands attempting to capitalize on sale traffic
  • Items in high demand where sellers know buyers won't comparison-shop

Always check the 90-day price history before purchasing during a sale event. If the item was at the "sale price" three weeks ago, the deal isn't as compelling as it looks.

Strategy: Use Both Events Effectively

Don't treat these as all-or-nothing. Build a list of items you want, watch the price history, and allocate purchases:

  • Amazon devices and accessories: Prime Day
  • TVs, laptops, major appliances: Black Friday
  • Everything else: set a price alert and let the data decide

Independent guide, not affiliated with any retailer. General information, not financial advice. Prices change often, so check the retailer before you buy.

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